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South Korea’s economy grows faster that anticipated, reinforcing central bank's hawkish stance

South Korea’s economy grew at a faster pace at the beginning of the year than first anticipated, supporting the central bank’s increasingly hawkish attitude. This comes as company activity is boosted by an export boom driven by artificial intelligence, Bloomberg reported.

According to Bank of Korea figures issued on Tuesday, the GDP grew 1.8% between January and March compared to the preceding three months, slightly more quickly than the earlier estimate of 1.7%. The figure indicated the fastest quarterly growth rate since the 2021 fourth quarter.

According to a Bloomberg Report, stronger infrastructure investment and private consumption were the primary drivers of the upward revision, while surging semiconductor shipments contributed to a 5.9% increase in exports over the previous quarter.
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The information supports the idea that South Korea’s economy is still benefiting from the global AI growth. SK Hynix Inc. announced a five-fold increase in quarterly earnings when the BOK released its initial GDP estimate in April, as rising memory-chip prices highlighted the strength of AI-related demand.

As spending on both goods and services grew, private consumption expanded by 0.6% and facilities investment increased by 6.6%, both of which were revised up from the initial estimate. Government spending decreased by 0.4% while construction investment rose by 1.4%.

Separately, the BOK increased its forecast for economic growth in 2025, stating that real GDP grew by 1.1% last year as opposed to a prior projection of 1%.

The board’s dot plot contained predictions for the benchmark rate as high as 3.25% in the upcoming six months, although two board members dissented in favour of raising rates last month.

According to Shin, the trade-offs that usually complicate monetary policy decisions are lessening as inflation, growth, the exchange rate, and housing-related financial risks all point in the same direction.

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